学术报告(丁鹏 12.15)

Causal inference in network experiments: regression-based analysis and design-based properties

发布人:姚璐 发布日期:2023-11-30
主题
Causal inference in network experiments: regression-based analysis and design-based properties
活动时间
-
活动地址
新数学楼519
主讲人
丁鹏 副教授(加州大学伯克利分校)
主持人
蒋智超

Abstract:Investigating interference or spillover effects among units is a central task in many social science problems. Network experiments are powerful tools for this task, which avoids endogeneity by randomly assigning treatments to units over networks. However, it is non-trivial to analyze network experiments properly without imposing strong modeling assumptions. Previously, many researchers have proposed sophisticated point estimators standard errors for causal effects under network experiments. We further show that standard regression-based point estimators standard errors can have strong theoretical guarantees if the regression functions and robust standard errors careful specified to accommodate the interference patterns under network experiments. We first recall a well-known result that the Hajek estimator is numerically identical to the coefficient from the weighted-least-squares fit based on the inverse probability of the exposure mapping. Moreover, we demonstrate that the regression-based approach offers two notable advantages: it can provide standard errors through the same weighted-least-squares fit, and it allows for the integration of covariates into the analysis to improve estimation efficiency. Furthermore, we analyze the asymptotic bias of the regression-based network-robust standard errors. Recognizing that the covariance estimator can be anti-conservative, we propose an adjusted covariance estimator to improve the empirical coverage rates. Although we focus on regression-based point estimators and standard errors, our theory holds under the design-based framework, which assumes that the randomness comes solely from the design of network experiments and allows for arbitrary misspecification of the regression models.